Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.351564e-02 0.015218 0.016943 0.018816 0.020786 0.022791 0.024981
2025-05-11 1.047066e-02 0.013118 0.015930 0.019110 0.022576 0.026214 0.030298
2025-05-18 8.221746e-03 0.011381 0.014883 0.018976 0.023559 0.028479 0.034106
2025-05-25 6.313014e-03 0.009715 0.013652 0.018397 0.023842 0.029795 0.036709
2025-06-01 4.908443e-03 0.008436 0.012696 0.017980 0.024172 0.031049 0.039134
2025-06-08 3.778141e-03 0.007335 0.011827 0.017556 0.024401 0.032111 0.041273
2025-06-15 3.037792e-03 0.006638 0.011374 0.017562 0.025073 0.033628 0.043880
2025-06-22 2.253655e-03 0.005754 0.010599 0.017106 0.025144 0.034410 0.045611
2025-06-29 1.478992e-03 0.004726 0.009535 0.016212 0.024630 0.034462 0.046463
2025-07-06 8.840839e-04 0.003823 0.008544 0.015339 0.024084 0.034433 0.047181
2025-07-13 6.675015e-04 0.003556 0.008433 0.015595 0.024916 0.036022 0.049767
2025-07-20 3.984302e-04 0.003069 0.007944 0.015312 0.025048 0.036755 0.051335
2025-07-27 1.478760e-04 0.002465 0.007274 0.014846 0.025057 0.037484 0.053085
2025-08-03 4.845053e-05 0.002170 0.007089 0.015070 0.025990 0.039387 0.056298
2025-08-10 2.090381e-07 0.001783 0.006682 0.014946 0.026450 0.040703 0.058808
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001324 0.006046 0.014432 0.026362 0.041318 0.060457
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000979 0.005538 0.014062 0.026435 0.042109 0.062299
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000690 0.005056 0.013687 0.026471 0.042834 0.064043
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000529 0.004827 0.013692 0.027014 0.044187 0.066542
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000326 0.004374 0.013289 0.026966 0.044772 0.068090
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000131 0.003733 0.012501 0.026339 0.044590 0.068674
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000023 0.003147 0.011735 0.025701 0.044365 0.069184
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000009 0.003100 0.011960 0.026501 0.046011 0.072013